Will there be new alphabet of foreign worker programs in the future , like D4X visas ? Will H1B visas of the future become just H1B visas by another name ?
What is our government long-term policy toward the importation of cheap foreign workers to replace Americans in their job ?
Most importantly, will the day arrive when a young American be able to plan a 20-year career without considering the threat of government foreign worker policy to their employment ?
In my view, the answer to the question above is "no". From now on, young Americans will need to consider future shifts in government foreign worker policy as a major factor when planning a career.
The Old World Order Meets the New World Order
The primary reason for the gloomy message is that most of the Washington apparatchiks are "all for it", or almost all of them are "all for it". For whatever reason ( lobbying, money, ideology, whatever), that will probably continue to be true for many years to come.As a testament to this, considering persistent proposals in Congress to increase the number of H1B workers during our deepest economic recession in 50 years - the attitude in Washington can only be described as "never too much". How could they suggest such a thing at a time like this ? It's astounding and it's a bad sign for controlling foreign worker programs in the future. The motives must be very powerful, whatever they are.
In part, it is just the nature of the political beast: the exercise of power depends on conflicting interests. Future politicians in America will feed and nurture themselves at the fountain of conflict brought about by threats to our wellbeing - by deciding our futures, they will have more opportunities for the exercise of power. Blame human nature
Furthermore, there is the factor of historical precedent: if it's happened once, it can happen again. When a shark ( a politician, H1B agency, etc ) tastes blood ( money ), it wants more. It will remember and it is ruthless and persistent enough to get it any way it can; it's just a matter of being willing to "do what it takes", as they say.
Another perspective is to turn the question around with a hypothetical -if US government 'officials' were to state that their absolute, irrevocable policy in the future will be to limit the number of H1B visas from now until forever, would anyone believe them ? I'm wouldn't and I doubt if many other Americans would believe them.
The New American Job Market
I think it is safe to conclude that foreign worker programs have become a permanent feature of the American employment landscape.Too much money 'on the table' ( several hundred billion dollars in the last 8 years ) and our political system is too susceptible to the power of money to expect that periodic floods of government-sanctioned foreign workers will cease being a major challenge to the continued existence of a professional class in this country.
By organizing and mobilizing, the American people may eventually be able to regain some control over our government in Washington and to limit the H1B program, but it's going to take a concerted effort followed by decades of public vigilance over foreign worker program to build confidence in the freedom of our jobs markets from government meddling.
The Future of American IT - Looking Through the Glass Darkly
Large, destructive foreign worker programs will probably never go away entirely as a threat to the careers of American professionals, not just as a threat to IT professionals but to all American professionals.The disinformation campaign surrounding the foreign IT worker program has been about as slippery and dishonest as anything I have witnessed in my not inconsiderable life span, so take a careful look at the statistics behind the statistics. Dig deep into whatever information is available before deciding on a career in IT, engineering or any technical field. Everybody talks education, but are they putting their money where their mouths are ? Are they walking the walk ?
Without answers to the questions above about long-term government policy toward foreign workers, you are really just playing craps with your future. When planning a career, young Americans need to remember that the ultimate victim of "bad intelligence" will be themselves.
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Please be concise and on topic. This blog is about jobs and foreign workers in the US, not about immigration reform.
Short comments are more readable than long treatises, as I keep reminding myself.